Thursday, June 18, 2015

Resultados da forma como as crianças passam o tempo

The Hours and Academic Achievement, por Bryan Caplan:

Adults love controlling the way kids spend the hours of the day.  What's the payoff for all their meddling?  Hofferth and Sandberg's "How American Children Spend Their Time" (Journal of Marriage and the Family) provides some fascinating answers for kids ages 0-12. 

After compiling the basic facts about kids' time use from the 1997 Child Development Supplement to the PSID, H&S regress measures of academic achievement on time use, controlling for child's age, gender, race, ethnicity, head of household's education and age, plus family structure, family employment, family income, and family size. (...)

The big result is the lack of results.  Controlling for family and child background, time in school and studying barely help - and television viewing barely hurts.  Contrary to wishful assertions that exercising the body improves the mind, sports don't matter either.  Out of nineteen activities, only two predict greater academic success across the board: reading and visiting. (...)

H&S's results lead to a separate but related result: How kids spend their time is overrated, too.  If adults really wanted to raise kids' test scores, they'd adopt the maxim, "If the kid has a book in his hands, leave him in peace."  Which, by sheer coincidence, was the maxim young Bryan Caplan vainly begged all the adults in his life to embrace. 
The Hours and Behavior Problems, também de Caplan:
Hofferth and Sandberg's "How American Children Spend Their Time" (Journal of Marriage and the Family, 2001) doesn't only estimate the effect of time usage on academic achievement.  It also estimates how the way kids spend their days affects their behavior. 

H&S have three measures of behavior problems.  There's a measure of total problems, plus subscales for external problems (acting badly) and internal problems (feeling badly).  Higher scores indicate more problems; SDs are 8 for total problems, 5.4 for external problems, and 3.2 for internal problems.  Results continue to control for child's age, gender, race, ethnicity, head of household's education and age, plus family structure, family employment, family income, and family size. (...)

Results for behavior problems are even scarcer than for academic achievement.  None of the nineteen kinds of time use predict behavior problems across the board.  Only two - eating and playing sports - have statistically significant effects on total problems.  How big are the effects?  Ten extra weekly hours of eating time cut problems by .24 SDs.  Ten extra weekly hours of sports cut total problems by .09 SDs. 

Look at all the stuff that doesn't matter: school time, study time, reading time, church time.  Furthermore, contrary to pro-play psychologist Peter Gray, play time has near-zero effect on either external or internal behavior problems.  Play may be intrinsically valuable for kids.  I argue precisely this in The Case Against Education.  But at least in this data set, the instrumental benefits of play are invisible.

While reverse causation remains a possibility, Hofferth and Sandberg do control for most of the obvious confounds.  The large effect of eating time is at least consistent with preaching about the importance of shared family meals, though more plausibly long meals are a symptom of general family togetherness.  Furthermore, even if we treat the effect of sports as entirely causal, it's still miniscule - especially compared to the triumphal rhetoric of our national cult of sport.

The chief takeaway, though, is that adults - not just parents but educators - need to relax.  At least within the observed range, setting kids' daily agendas is almost fruitless.  It's not helpful, it's not harmful, it's just bossy.

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